View Full Version : The Rise of the Rest
evil_FUX
May 12th, 2008, 02:29 AM
Just read this great article tonight in Newsweek:
http://www.newsweek.com/id/135380
The Rise of the Rest
It's true China is booming, Russia is growing more assertive, terrorism is a threat. But if America is losing the ability to dictate to this new world, it has not lost the ability to lead.
Fareed Zakaria
NEWSWEEK
Updated: 2:24 PM ET May 3, 2008
Americans are glum at the moment. No, I mean really glum. In April, a new poll revealed that 81 percent of the American people believe that the country is on the "wrong track." In the 25 years that pollsters have asked this question, last month's response was by far the most negative. Other polls, asking similar questions, found levels of gloom that were even more alarming, often at 30- and 40-year highs. There are reasons to be pessimistic—a financial panic and looming recession, a seemingly endless war in Iraq, and the ongoing threat of terrorism. But the facts on the ground—unemployment numbers, foreclosure rates, deaths from terror attacks—are simply not dire enough to explain the present atmosphere of malaise.
American anxiety springs from something much deeper, a sense that large and disruptive forces are coursing through the world. In almost every industry, in every aspect of life, it feels like the patterns of the past are being scrambled. "Whirl is king, having driven out Zeus," wrote Aristophanes 2,400 years ago. And—for the first time in living memory—the United States does not seem to be leading the charge. Americans see that a new world is coming into being, but fear it is one being shaped in distant lands and by foreign people.
Look around. The world's tallest building is in Taipei, and will soon be in Dubai. Its largest publicly traded company is in Beijing. Its biggest refinery is being constructed in India. Its largest passenger airplane is built in Europe. The largest investment fund on the planet is in Abu Dhabi; the biggest movie industry is Bollywood, not Hollywood. Once quintessentially American icons have been usurped by the natives. The largest Ferris wheel is in Singapore. The largest casino is in Macao, which overtook Las Vegas in gambling revenues last year. America no longer dominates even its favorite sport, shopping. The Mall of America in Minnesota once boasted that it was the largest shopping mall in the world. Today it wouldn't make the top ten. In the most recent rankings, only two of the world's ten richest people are American. These lists are arbitrary and a bit silly, but consider that only ten years ago, the United States would have serenely topped almost every one of these categories.
These factoids reflect a seismic shift in power and attitudes. It is one that I sense when I travel around the world. In America, we are still debating the nature and extent of anti-Americanism. One side says that the problem is real and worrying and that we must woo the world back. The other says this is the inevitable price of power and that many of these countries are envious—and vaguely French—so we can safely ignore their griping. But while we argue over why they hate us, "they" have moved on, and are now far more interested in other, more dynamic parts of the globe. The world has shifted from anti-Americanism to post-Americanism.
I. The End of Pax Americana
During the 1980s, when I would visit India—where I grew up—most Indians were fascinated by the United States. Their interest, I have to confess, was not in the important power players in Washington or the great intellectuals in Cambridge.
People would often ask me about … Donald Trump. He was the very symbol of the United States—brassy, rich, and modern. He symbolized the feeling that if you wanted to find the biggest and largest anything, you had to look to America. Today, outside of entertainment figures, there is no comparable interest in American personalities. If you wonder why, read India's newspapers or watch its television. There are dozens of Indian businessmen who are now wealthier than the Donald. Indians are obsessed by their own vulgar real estate billionaires. And that newfound interest in their own story is being replicated across much of the world.
evil_FUX
May 12th, 2008, 02:31 AM
continued....
How much? Well, consider this fact. In 2006 and 2007, 124 countries grew their economies at over 4 percent a year. That includes more than 30 countries in Africa. Over the last two decades, lands outside the industrialized West have been growing at rates that were once unthinkable. While there have been booms and busts, the overall trend has been unambiguously upward. Antoine van Agtmael, the fund manager who coined the term "emerging markets," has identified the 25 companies most likely to be the world's next great multinationals. His list includes four companies each from Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, and Taiwan; three from India, two from China, and one each from Argentina, Chile, Malaysia, and South Africa. This is something much broader than the much-ballyhooed rise of China or even Asia. It is the rise of the rest—the rest of the world.
We are living through the third great power shift in modern history. The first was the rise of the Western world, around the 15th century. It produced the world as we know it now—science and technology, commerce and capitalism, the industrial and agricultural revolutions. It also led to the prolonged political dominance of the nations of the Western world. The second shift, which took place in the closing years of the 19th century, was the rise of the United States. Once it industrialized, it soon became the most powerful nation in the world, stronger than any likely combination of other nations. For the last 20 years, America's superpower status in every realm has been largely unchallenged—something that's never happened before in history, at least since the Roman Empire dominated the known world 2,000 years ago. During this Pax Americana, the global economy has accelerated dramatically. And that expansion is the driver behind the third great power shift of the modern age—the rise of the rest.
At the military and political level, we still live in a unipolar world. But along every other dimension—industrial, financial, social, cultural—the distribution of power is shifting, moving away from American dominance. In terms of war and peace, economics and business, ideas and art, this will produce a landscape that is quite different from the one we have lived in until now—one defined and directed from many places and by many peoples.
The post-American world is naturally an unsettling prospect for Americans, but it should not be. This will not be a world defined by the decline of America but rather the rise of everyone else. It is the result of a series of positive trends that have been progressing over the last 20 years, trends that have created an international climate of unprecedented peace and prosperity.
I know. That's not the world that people perceive. We are told that we live in dark, dangerous times. Terrorism, rogue states, nuclear proliferation, financial panics, recession, outsourcing, and illegal immigrants all loom large in the national discourse. Al Qaeda, Iran, North Korea, China, Russia are all threats in some way or another. But just how violent is today's world, really?
A team of scholars at the University of Maryland has been tracking deaths caused by organized violence. Their data show that wars of all kinds have been declining since the mid-1980s and that we are now at the lowest levels of global violence since the 1950s. Deaths from terrorism are reported to have risen in recent years. But on closer examination, 80 percent of those casualties come from Afghanistan and Iraq, which are really war zones with ongoing insurgencies—and the overall numbers remain small. Looking at the evidence, Harvard's polymath professor Steven Pinker has ventured to speculate that we are probably living "in the most peaceful time of our species' existence."
Why does it not feel that way? Why do we think we live in scary times? Part of the problem is that as violence has been ebbing, information has been exploding. The last 20 years have produced an information revolution that brings us news and, most crucially, images from around the world all the time. The immediacy of the images and the intensity of the 24-hour news cycle combine to produce constant hype. Every weather disturbance is the "storm of the decade." Every bomb that explodes is BREAKING NEWS. Because the information revolution is so new, we—reporters, writers, readers, viewers—are all just now figuring out how to put everything in context.
We didn't watch daily footage of the two million people who died in Indochina in the 1970s, or the million who perished in the sands of the Iran-Iraq war ten years later. We saw little of the civil war in the Congo in the 1990s, where millions died. But today any bomb that goes off, any rocket that is fired, any death that results, is documented by someone, somewhere and ricochets instantly across the world. Add to this terrorist attacks, which are random and brutal. "That could have been me," you think. Actually, your chances of being killed in a terrorist attack are tiny—for an American, smaller than drowning in your bathtub. But it doesn't feel like that.
The threats we face are real. Islamic jihadists are a nasty bunch—they do want to attack civilians everywhere. But it is increasingly clear that militants and suicide bombers make up a tiny portion of the world's 1.3 billion Muslims. They can do real damage, especially if they get their hands on nuclear weapons. But the combined efforts of the world's governments have effectively put them on the run and continue to track them and their money. Jihad persists, but the jihadists have had to scatter, work in small local cells, and use simple and undetectable weapons. They have not been able to hit big, symbolic targets, especially ones involving Americans. So they blow up bombs in cafés, marketplaces, and subway stations. The problem is that in doing so, they kill locals and alienate ordinary Muslims. Look at the polls. Support for violence of any kind has dropped dramatically over the last five years in all Muslim countries.
Militant groups have reconstituted in certain areas where they exploit a particular local issue or have support from a local ethnic group or sect, most worryingly in Pakistan and Afghanistan where Islamic radicalism has become associated with Pashtun identity politics. But as a result, these groups are becoming more local and less global. Al Qaeda in Iraq, for example, has turned into a group that is more anti-Shiite than anti-American. The bottom line is this: since 9/11, Al Qaeda Central, the gang run by Osama bin Laden, has not been able to launch a single major terror attack in the West or any Arab country—its original targets. They used to do terrorism, now they make videotapes. Of course one day they will get lucky again, but that they have been stymied for almost seven years points out that in this battle between governments and terror groups, the former need not despair.
Some point to the dangers posed by countries like Iran. These rogue states present real problems, but look at them in context. The American economy is 68 times the size of Iran's. Its military budget is 110 times that of the mullahs. Were Iran to attain a nuclear capacity, it would complicate the geopolitics of the Middle East. But none of the problems we face compare with the dangers posed by a rising Germany in the first half of the 20th century or an expansionist Soviet Union in the second half. Those were great global powers bent on world domination. If this is 1938, as some neoconservatives tell us, then Iran is Romania, not Germany.
Others paint a dark picture of a world in which dictators are on the march. China and Russia and assorted other oil potentates are surging. We must draw the battle lines now, they warn, and engage in a great Manichean struggle that will define the next century. Some of John McCain's rhetoric has suggested that he adheres to this dire, dyspeptic view. But before we all sign on for a new Cold War, let's take a deep breath and gain some perspective. Today's rising great powers are relatively benign by historical measure. In the past, when countries grew rich they've wanted to become great military powers, overturn the existing order, and create their own empires or spheres of influence. But since the rise of Japan and Germany in the 1960s and 1970s, none have done this, choosing instead to get rich within the existing international order. China and India are clearly moving in this direction. Even Russia, the most aggressive and revanchist great power today, has done little that compares with past aggressors. The fact that for the first time in history, the United States can contest Russian influence in Ukraine—a country 4,800 miles away from Washington that Russia has dominated or ruled for 350 years—tells us something about the balance of power between the West and Russia.
evil_FUX
May 12th, 2008, 02:32 AM
continued...
Compare Russia and China with where they were 35 years ago. At the time both (particularly Russia) were great power threats, actively conspiring against the United States, arming guerrilla movement across the globe, funding insurgencies and civil wars, blocking every American plan in the United Nations. Now they are more integrated into the global economy and society than at any point in at least 100 years. They occupy an uncomfortable gray zone, neither friends nor foes, cooperating with the United States and the West on some issues, obstructing others. But how large is their potential for trouble? Russia's military spending is $35 billion, or 1/20th of the Pentagon's. China has about 20 nuclear missiles that can reach the United States. We have 830 missiles, most with multiple warheads, that can reach China. Who should be worried about whom? Other rising autocracies like Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states are close U.S. allies that shelter under America's military protection, buy its weapons, invest in its companies, and follow many of its diktats. With Iran's ambitions growing in the region, these countries are likely to become even closer allies, unless America gratuitously alienates them.
II. The Good News
In July 2006, I spoke with a senior member of the Israeli government, a few days after Israel's war with Hezbollah had ended. He was genuinely worried about his country's physical security. Hezbollah's rockets had reached farther into Israel than people had believed possible. The military response had clearly been ineffectual: Hezbollah launched as many rockets on the last day of the war as on the first. Then I asked him about the economy—the area in which he worked. His response was striking. "That's puzzled all of us," he said. "The stock market was higher on the last day of the war than on the first! The same with the shekel." The government was spooked, but the market wasn't.
Or consider the Iraq War, which has produced deep, lasting chaos and dysfunction in that country. Over two million refugees have crowded into neighboring lands. That would seem to be the kind of political crisis guaranteed to spill over. But as I've traveled in the Middle East over the last few years, I've been struck by how little Iraq's troubles have destabilized the region. Everywhere you go, people angrily denounce American foreign policy. But most Middle Eastern countries are booming. Iraq's neighbors—Turkey, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia—are enjoying unprecedented prosperity. The Gulf states are busy modernizing their economies and societies, asking the Louvre, New York University, and Cornell Medical School to set up remote branches in the desert. There's little evidence of chaos, instability, and rampant Islamic fundamentalism.
The underlying reality across the globe is of enormous vitality. For the first time ever, most countries around the world are practicing sensible economics. Consider inflation. Over the past 20 years hyperinflation, a problem that used to bedevil large swaths of the world from Turkey to Brazil to Indonesia, has largely vanished, tamed by successful fiscal and monetary policies. The results are clear and stunning. The share of people living on $1 a day has plummeted from 40 percent in 1981 to 18 percent in 2004 and is estimated to drop to 12 percent by 2015. Poverty is falling in countries that house 80 percent of the world's population. There remains real poverty in the world—most worryingly in 50 basket-case countries that contain 1 billion people—but the overall trend has never been more encouraging. The global economy has more than doubled in size over the last 15 years and is now approaching $54 trillion! Global trade has grown by 133 percent in the same period. The expansion of the global economic pie has been so large, with so many countries participating, that it has become the dominating force of the current era. Wars, terrorism, and civil strife cause disruptions temporarily but eventually they are overwhelmed by the waves of globalization. These circumstances may not last, but it is worth understanding what the world has looked like for the past few decades.
evil_FUX
May 12th, 2008, 02:34 AM
continued...
III. A New Nationalism
Of course, global growth is also responsible for some of the biggest problems in the world right now. It has produced tons of money—what businesspeople call liquidity—that moves around the world. The combination of low inflation and lots of cash has meant low interest rates, which in turn have made people act greedily and/or stupidly. So we have witnessed over the last two decades a series of bubbles—in East Asian countries, technology stocks, housing, subprime mortgages, and emerging market equities. Growth also explains one of the signature events of our times—soaring commodity prices. $100 oil is just the tip of the barrel.
Almost all commodities are at 200-year highs. Food, only a few decades ago in danger of price collapse, is now in the midst of a scary rise. None of this is due to dramatic fall-offs in supply. It is demand, growing global demand, that is fueling these prices. The effect of more and more people eating, drinking, washing, driving, and consuming will have seismic effects on the global system. These may be high-quality problems, but they are deep problems nonetheless.
The most immediate effect of global growth is the appearance of new economic powerhouses on the scene. It is an accident of history that for the last several centuries, the richest countries in the world have all been very small in terms of population. Denmark has 5.5 million people, the Netherlands has 16.6 million. The United States is the biggest of the bunch and has dominated the advanced industrial world. But the real giants—China, India, Brazil—have been sleeping, unable or unwilling to join the world of functioning economies. Now they are on the move and naturally, given their size, they will have a large footprint on the map of the future. Even if people in these countries remain relatively poor, as nations their total wealth will be massive. Or to put it another way, any number, no matter how small, when multiplied by 2.5 billion becomes a very big number. (2.5 billion is the population of China plus India.)
The rise of China and India is really just the most obvious manifestation of a rising world. In dozens of big countries, one can see the same set of forces at work—a growing economy, a resurgent society, a vibrant culture, and a rising sense of national pride. That pride can morph into something uglier. For me, this was vividly illustrated a few years ago when I was chatting with a young Chinese executive in an Internet café in Shanghai. He wore Western clothes, spoke fluent English, and was immersed in global pop culture. He was a product of globalization and spoke its language of bridge building and cosmopolitan values. At least, he did so until we began talking about Taiwan, Japan, and even the United States. (We did not discuss Tibet, but I'm sure had we done so, I could have added it to this list.) His responses were filled with passion, bellicosity, and intolerance. I felt as if I were in Germany in 1910, speaking to a young German professional, who would have been equally modern and yet also a staunch nationalist.
As economic fortunes rise, so inevitably does nationalism. Imagine that your country has been poor and marginal for centuries. Finally, things turn around and it becomes a symbol of economic progress and success. You would be proud, and anxious that your people win recognition and respect throughout the world.
In many countries such nationalism arises from a pent-up frustration over having to accept an entirely Western, or American, narrative of world history—one in which they are miscast or remain bit players. Russians have long chafed over the manner in which Western countries remember World War II. The American narrative is one in which the United States and Britain heroically defeat the forces of fascism. The Normandy landings are the climactic highpoint of the war—the beginning of the end. The Russians point out, however, that in fact the entire Western front was a sideshow. Three quarters of all German forces were engaged on the Eastern front fighting Russian troops, and Germany suffered 70 percent of its casualties there. The Eastern front involved more land combat than all other theaters of World War II put together.
Such divergent national perspectives always existed. But today, thanks to the information revolution, they are amplified, echoed, and disseminated. Where once there were only the narratives laid out by The New York Times, Time, Newsweek, the BBC, and CNN, there are now dozens of indigenous networks and channels—from Al Jazeera to New Delhi's NDTV to Latin America's Telesur. The result is that the "rest" are now dissecting the assumptions and narratives of the West and providing alternative views. A young Chinese diplomat told me in 2006, "When you tell us that we support a dictatorship in Sudan to have access to its oil, what I want to say is, 'And how is that different from your support of a medieval monarchy in Saudi Arabia?' We see the hypocrisy, we just don't say anything—yet."
The fact that newly rising nations are more strongly asserting their ideas and interests is inevitable in a post-American world. This raises a conundrum—how to get a world of many actors to work together. The traditional mechanisms of international cooperation are fraying. The U.N. Security Council has as its permanent members the victors of a war that ended more than 60 years ago. The G8 does not include China, India or Brazil—the three fastest-growing large economies in the world—and yet claims to represent the movers and shakers of the world economy. By tradition, the IMF is always headed by a European and the World Bank by an American. This "tradition," like the segregated customs of an old country club, might be charming to an insider. But to the majority who live outside the West, it seems bigoted. Our challenge is this: Whether the problem is a trade dispute or a human rights tragedy like Darfur or climate change, the only solutions that will work are those involving many nations. But arriving at solutions when more countries and more non-governmental players are feeling empowered will be harder than ever.
IV. The Next American Century
Many look at the vitality of this emerging world and conclude that the United States has had its day. "Globalization is striking back," Gabor Steingart, an editor at Germany's leading news magazine, Der Spiegel, writes in a best-selling book. As others prosper, he argues, the United States has lost key industries, its people have stopped saving money, and its government has become increasingly indebted to Asian central banks. The current financial crisis has only given greater force to such fears.
But take a step back. Over the last 20 years, globalization has been gaining depth and breadth. America has benefited massively from these trends. It has enjoyed unusually robust growth, low unemployment and inflation, and received hundreds of billions of dollars in investment. These are not signs of economic collapse. Its companies have entered new countries and industries with great success, using global supply chains and technology to stay in the vanguard of efficiency. U.S. exports and manufacturing have actually held their ground and services have boomed.
The United States is currently ranked as the globe's most competitive economy by the World Economic Forum. It remains dominant in many industries of the future like nanotechnology, biotechnology, and dozens of smaller high-tech fields. Its universities are the finest in the world, making up 8 of the top ten and 37 of the top fifty, according to a prominent ranking produced by Shanghai Jiao Tong University. A few years ago the National Science Foundation put out a scary and much-discussed statistic. In 2004, the group said, 950,000 engineers graduated from China and India, while only 70,000 graduated from the United States. But those numbers are wildly off the mark. If you exclude the car mechanics and repairmen—who are all counted as engineers in Chinese and Indian statistics—the numbers look quite different. Per capita, it turns out, the United States trains more engineers than either of the Asian giants.
But America's hidden secret is that most of these engineers are immigrants. Foreign students and immigrants account for almost 50 percent of all science researchers in the country. In 2006 they received 40 percent of all PhDs. By 2010, 75 percent of all science PhDs in this country will be awarded to foreign students. When these graduates settle in the country, they create economic opportunity. Half of all Silicon Valley start-ups have one founder who is an immigrant or first generation American. The potential for a new burst of American productivity depends not on our education system or R&D spending, but on our immigration policies. If these people are allowed and encouraged to stay, then innovation will happen here. If they leave, they'll take it with them.
More broadly, this is America's great—and potentially insurmountable—strength. It remains the most open, flexible society in the world, able to absorb other people, cultures, ideas, goods, and services. The country thrives on the hunger and energy of poor immigrants. Faced with the new technologies of foreign companies, or growing markets overseas, it adapts and adjusts. When you compare this dynamism with the closed and hierarchical nations that were once superpowers, you sense that the United States is different and may not fall into the trap of becoming rich, and fat, and lazy.
evil_FUX
May 12th, 2008, 02:35 AM
continued...
American society can adapt to this new world. But can the American government? Washington has gotten used to a world in which all roads led to its doorstep. America has rarely had to worry about benchmarking to the rest of the world—it was always so far ahead. But the natives have gotten good at capitalism and the gap is narrowing. Look at the rise of London. It's now the world's leading financial center—less because of things that the United States did badly than those London did well, like improving regulation and becoming friendlier to foreign capital. Or take the U.S. health care system, which has become a huge liability for American companies. U.S. carmakers now employ more people in Ontario, Canada, than Michigan because in Canada their health care costs are lower. Twenty years ago, the United States had the lowest corporate taxes in the world. Today they are the second-highest. It's not that ours went up. Those of others went down.
American parochialism is particularly evident in foreign policy. Economically, as other countries grow, for the most part the pie expands and everyone wins. But geopolitics is a struggle for influence: as other nations become more active internationally, they will seek greater freedom of action. This necessarily means that America's unimpeded influence will decline. But if the world that's being created has more power centers, nearly all are invested in order, stability and progress. Rather than narrowly obsessing about our own short-term interests and interest groups, our chief priority should be to bring these rising forces into the global system, to integrate them so that they in turn broaden and deepen global economic, political, and cultural ties. If China, India, Russia, Brazil all feel that they have a stake in the existing global order, there will be less danger of war, depression, panics, and breakdowns. There will be lots of problems, crisis, and tensions, but they will occur against a backdrop of systemic stability. This benefits them but also us. It's the ultimate win-win.
To bring others into this world, the United States needs to make its own commitment to the system clear. So far, America has been able to have it both ways. It is the global rule-maker but doesn't always play by the rules. And forget about standards created by others. Only three countries in the world don't use the metric system—Liberia, Myanmar, and the United States. For America to continue to lead the world, we will have to first join it.
Americans—particularly the American government—have not really understood the rise of the rest. This is one of the most thrilling stories in history. Billions of people are escaping from abject poverty. The world will be enriched and ennobled as they become consumers, producers, inventors, thinkers, dreamers, and doers. This is all happening because of American ideas and actions. For 60 years, the United States has pushed countries to open their markets, free up their politics, and embrace trade and technology. American diplomats, businessmen, and intellectuals have urged people in distant lands to be unafraid of change, to join the advanced world, to learn the secrets of our success. Yet just as they are beginning to do so, we are losing faith in such ideas. We have become suspicious of trade, openness, immigration, and investment because now it's not Americans going abroad but foreigners coming to America. Just as the world is opening up, we are closing down.
Generations from now, when historians write about these times, they might note that by the turn of the 21st century, the United States had succeeded in its great, historical mission—globalizing the world. We don't want them to write that along the way, we forgot to globalize ourselves.
jaehwan
May 12th, 2008, 08:49 PM
Great article, dude. I just frontpaged (http://www.thefighting44s.com/archives/2008/05/12/post-american-world/) it!
nskripchun
May 12th, 2008, 11:25 PM
Good find, EF.
Americans need to get over themselves in respect to the issues with our declining hegemony. That's pretty much it.
If people took the time to study history, maybe they'd learn some lessons from the rise and fall of other great empires - Greeks, Chinese, Mongols, French, British, etc. - they'd realize nothing lasts forever. The best chance for the US to cement its legacy over the next century is to take steps to help the world transition to be a more just, compassionate, and peaceful place. I genuinely think that it can be done.
Aggressive behavior in regards to future powers like China and India is stupid and is sowing the future seeds of mistrust or God forbid, war. People have long memories and short fuses.
RebelAzn
May 13th, 2008, 12:09 AM
Great article. This is something I have been preaching for a while now. I think a lot of bitching about mistreatment of Asian Americans is mainly due to West having a dominate power position for many years. East is rising. Brazil is rising. It will take sometime but it is inevitable that they will catch up to America at some point. Perhaps Americans will actually have to try to understand and respect other cultures vs. just trying to impose American ways to everyone else?
zhangfei
May 13th, 2008, 11:34 PM
The Rise of Asia and the Decline of the West
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zIaVB-k7QlY
evil_FUX
May 14th, 2008, 02:36 AM
Damn, great video link zhangfei. After watching this I understand the Ken Wilber link D put out in the Lee Kuan Yew blog post about techno-economic establishment.
ktkbs
Jun 4th, 2008, 08:49 PM
His article is somewhat accurate, something everyone knew already but still.
Roman Empire dominated the known world 2,000 years ago.
What's that? The Roman Empire did not dominate China, which was the greatest power of the world at that time.
East Asia (Japan, Korea, China and Chinese states) is rising, everyone else is "normalizing" (i.e crawling out from under the yoke) imo.
truthsayer
Jul 24th, 2008, 08:10 PM
to the original poster, i personally believe that you are having the wrong reaction to the article. I have read it before.
So the article says a few big names that are rising in power. russia, india, china, islam, etc...
I don't understand why you would think this is such great news. I will first start by assuming you are of east asian decent since you frequent this site. You seem to have the same mentality as many orientals who think that "whitey" is finally getting what's been coming to him (what he deserves) for the last 400 years of european imperialism. you look at yourself as the victims.
I would however first ask you two questions.
1. Do you live in a western country (US, Canada, UK, Australia, France, etc.)?
2. If yes to Q1, why did you choose to come here? Did you come here by choice or were you born here? If you were born here, why did your parents, grandparents, or great-grandparents choose to come here?
My point it that immigrants try to move to western countries in flocks for a REASON.
There is a reason why the average chinese would rather want to go to the US than vice versa!
There is a reason why the average muslim immigrates to the UK than vice versa!
compared to the rest of the entire human race, there are no countries with better treatment of the human and his rights than these western nations (as of right now). I don't think there is any way you can argue over this last statement because you know it is true.
Example:
For ALL the crap that jesse jackson and al sharpton whines about in terms of racism in the US, they still know in the back of their minds that the US is still a far better place to live than any african country. The can complain all they want about how badly whitey is treating them, but there is no way you would ever get them to move their asses out of this country and back to africa.
the fact is that the quality of life in most "white" nations are just far higher than "black" countries. No discussion on this. Would the average person from japan or china rather live in zimbabwe than austria? would their rather live in canada or ethiopia? would they rather live in france or sudan?
For all the racism that you may have experienced in your time living in the US, canada, etc. that is still nothing compared to the level and degree of discrimination you would suffer if you were in china, india, saudi arabia, or iran.
A lot of people often make the claim that of all the nations in the world, "the US is the most racist country in the world". I would respond to a claim like that by countering with this.
unlike 90% of the nations in the world, the western, predominantly white nations are heterogenous. in their nations, there is a far greater percentage of minorities than others. US has 12.8% foreigners. germany has 12.3%. france has 10.2%. canada has 18.8%. UK has 9%. australia has 20%. isreal has 38.9%. switzerland 22.9%. sweden 12.3%. austria 14.9 %
On the other hand, if you look at most of the other nonwestern countries in the world, you see almost a homogenous demographic. china has .3% of foreigners. india has .5%. pakistan has 2% (mostly from afghanistan). bangladesh has .7%. japan has 1.6%. and on and on.
what i mean of course is that the reason why racism hasn't become such a huge problem in countries in place like japan, korea, china, saudi arabia, etc. is because the predominant ethnic group hasn't been forced to confront an alien, really different minority group yet. the fact is that a huge majority of the people in the world who don't reside in western nations are usually "closet racists" who have never had to deal with the issues which come from leaving in a truly multicultural society.
In terms of interracial interactions and development, places like canada and the US are far more advanced and evolved than other places.
In my time living in america, I have found that the most discriminatory of groups have been asians, specifically eastern and southern. Caucasians are absolutely wonderful and the hispanics are just as nice.
The white people are no longer your enemies. As a fellow east asian, your new enemy is now your fellow asians. If you are chinese, you will now have to confront the indians, the arabs, and the russians. The same goes for the indians, arabs, and russians.
Give the world 50 years to develop and you may understand my point of view.
I mean think of it this way. If in the US, the average chinese-american relates more to his chinese side than his american side, the indian-american identifies more with his indian side than his american side, the average muslim-american identifies more with him being a muslim than american, the average filipino-american relates more to his filipino side than his american side, and every ethnics group of people identifies themselves as something else other than american, what the US will then become is A NATION DIVIDED. It will consist of a nation of segregated groups of people. And guess what would happen if a war broke out between the US and a foreign nation. the US would lose its unity and cohesion because the constituents which make up the american population refuse to come together over the american cause.
evil_FUX
Jul 24th, 2008, 08:27 PM
^I hear what you're saying because I've heard similar comments before. But I believe you're making a baseless assumption of my position. The reason I enjoyed the article is not because whitey is getting whatever come uppance, it's because it illustrates how the rest of the world is finally ramping up, hopefully, for the better and that because of this 1) there is nothing to fear and 2) it offers a chance for people, particularly in the U.S., to embrace whatever new diversity and healthy competition they would offer.
Lastly, from only what I can tell from your comments I believe you're taking too negative a view of humanity and the extent an ethnocentric identity places on people's lives. Are there some that identify heavily? Sure, but how many others balance that identity rationally and "healthily" with other aspects in their lives?
ktkbs
Jul 24th, 2008, 09:06 PM
the US is still a far better place to live than any african country.
Wow. Are you even Asian at all?
Part of the reason why Africa is a shithole is because it was raped by whites. Note I did say "part of". A lot of it is their own mess, but whites made it worse.
As for your assertion that China or Japan are "racially homogenous" you are once again showing your ignorance. Ainuid types and the Yamato type are not the same race. Technically the original Jomon and the Ainu they hybridized with were not the same ethnicity either.
For China, there are 130 million+ minorities with very distinct cultures. It doesn't matter if they are genetically similar (they aren't, but that's another story). By dismissing China's minorities you are seeing things through a Western lens which is almost always bullshit by default.
The Uighur at least are Islamized, half Indo-European Turks. They are essentially 100% foreigner to China yet their presence is tolerated (despite the fact that they washed in from the Southern Caucasus).
China and Japan can be discriminatory but they tend to absorb ethnic minorities and treat them better than whites do even with all their so-called "sensitivity training".
tokyolovestory
Jul 24th, 2008, 09:56 PM
to the original poster, i personally believe that you are having the wrong reaction to the article. I have read it before.
Good for you. How do you know what kind of reaction the OP is having to the article?
I don't understand why you would think this is such great news. I will first start by assuming you are of east asian decent since you frequent this site. You seem to have the same mentality as many orientals who think that "whitey" is finally getting what's been coming to him (what he deserves) for the last 400 years of european imperialism. you look at yourself as the victims.
Wow, you were able to know ALL THAT about his personal opinion about the article just from his first sentence:
Just read this great article tonight in Newsweek:
http://www.newsweek.com/id/135380
You are AMAZING. You're psychic, huh?
1. Do you live in a western country (US, Canada, UK, Australia, France, etc.)?
2. If yes to Q1, why did you choose to come here? Did you come here by choice or were you born here? If you were born here, why did your parents, grandparents, or great-grandparents choose to come here?
1. Yes I do. I live in San Diego, CA.
2. I didn't have much of a choice, now, did I? I was born in Tokyo, but was too young to talk, much less express an opinion about moving here. Why did *they* move here? I wouldn't presume to know.
There is a reason why the average chinese would rather want to go to the US than vice versa!
There is a reason why the average muslim immigrates to the UK than vice versa!
compared to the rest of the entire human race, there are no countries with better treatment of the human and his rights than these western nations (as of right now). I don't think there is any way you can argue over this last statement because you know it is true.
Uh, last I checked, there are at least a few Asian countries in which the standard of living is JUST FINE. So cut it with the attitude.
Example:
For ALL the crap that jesse jackson and al sharpton whines about in terms of racism in the US, they still know in the back of their minds that the US is still a far better place to live than any african country. The can complain all they want about how badly whitey is treating them, but there is no way you would ever get them to move their asses out of this country and back to africa.
So? It's probably a lot "better" to be homeless in the U.S. than in a lot of other countries, but homeless is homeless. If you're trying to play the "lots of other people have it worse, stop complaining!" argument, I will shut you down in an instant.
the fact is that the quality of life in most "white" nations are just far higher than "black" countries. No discussion on this. Would the average person from japan or china rather live in zimbabwe than austria? would their rather live in canada or ethiopia? would they rather live in france or sudan?
Way to ask leading questions, by the way. Oh and... how about the average person from Japan being just fine where they are? How about that? That's the problem that some of the members here have with some Asian-AMERICANS and Asian-CANADIANS or whatever; some of "us" have this attitude like "OMG all you Asians in Asia must want to be like US! You must think exactly like ME!" Cut it out, quick, because you're making the rest of "us" who aren't self-absorbed and small-minded look bad.
For all the racism that you may have experienced in your time living in the US, canada, etc. that is still nothing compared to the level and degree of discrimination you would suffer if you were in china, india, saudi arabia, or iran.
Oh yeah. Or Japan, or South Korea, or Malaysia, or Taiwan... Oh wait, I think I might actually be okay.
A lot of people often make the claim that of all the nations in the world, "the US is the most racist country in the world". I would respond to a claim like that by countering with this.
unlike 90% of the nations in the world, the western, predominantly white nations are heterogenous. in their nations, there is a far greater percentage of minorities than others. US has 12.8% foreigners. germany has 12.3%. france has 10.2%. canada has 18.8%. UK has 9%. australia has 20%. isreal has 38.9%. switzerland 22.9%. sweden 12.3%. austria 14.9 %
On the other hand, if you look at most of the other nonwestern countries in the world, you see almost a homogenous demographic. china has .3% of foreigners. india has .5%. pakistan has 2% (mostly from afghanistan). bangladesh has .7%. japan has 1.6%. and on and on.
what i mean of course is that the reason why racism hasn't become such a huge problem in countries in place like japan, korea, china, saudi arabia, etc. is because the predominant ethnic group hasn't been forced to confront an alien, really different minority group yet. the fact is that a huge majority of the people in the world who don't reside in western nations are usually "closet racists" who have never had to deal with the issues which come from leaving in a truly multicultural society.
Oh really? "Usually 'closet racists,'" you say? You must be some kind of magical to know how people "usually" are in "foreign" countries--most of which I'm willing to bet you haven't visited. I mean, you say it with such conviction, I can't imagine that you're just assuming things so you must have a HUGE circle of friends and acquaintances--like half the world's population or so?
In terms of interracial interactions and development, places like canada and the US are far more advanced and evolved than other places.
Once again, this conviction...
In my time living in america, I have found that the most discriminatory of groups have been asians, specifically eastern and southern. Caucasians are absolutely wonderful and the hispanics are just as nice.
Really? Because in my time living in the United States, I've been called every name in the book, was kept after school for detention EVERY WEEK in elementary school for fights with little racist kids, had people make all sorts of assumptions about me, my culture, my lifestyle, my identity, my intellect, my education, and everything else... And the majority of the time, they were Caucasian.
The white people are no longer your enemies. As a fellow east asian, your new enemy is now your fellow asians. If you are chinese, you will now have to confront the indians, the arabs, and the russians. The same goes for the indians, arabs, and russians.
Really? How do you explain this point of view? I read the rest of your post but it doesn't address this.
Give the world 50 years to develop and you may understand my point of view.
Condescending.
I mean think of it this way. If in the US, the average chinese-american relates more to his chinese side than his american side, the indian-american identifies more with his indian side than his american side, the average muslim-american identifies more with him being a muslim than american, the average filipino-american relates more to his filipino side than his american side, and every ethnics group of people identifies themselves as something else other than american, what the US will then become is A NATION DIVIDED. It will consist of a nation of segregated groups of people. And guess what would happen if a war broke out between the US and a foreign nation. the US would lose its unity and cohesion because the constituents which make up the american population refuse to come together over the american cause.
Oh, so you're like Icepac and want us to first and foremost to relate to the AMERICAN side. There's nothing wrong with ethnocentric tendencies--that's pretty much inherent in the way people see the world and relate to other human beings. And just to let you know, as far as I can tell, the United States already is a nation divided. And if you're telling me that I'm wrong because I identify myself as Japanese--instead of Japanese-AMERICAN, then you've probably been living your entire life with your eyes closed. Which, I guess, can already be inferred by the fact that you claimed that you experienced more racism from other Asians than from white people in the United States. Go ahead and "assimilate" yourself all you want, I'm perfectly happy being what I am.
RebelAzn
Jul 24th, 2008, 09:56 PM
Truthsayer - Are you the same guy who thinks just because USA has higher standard of living, therefore it is ok for whiteys to discriminate against minorities because minorities would have it worse elsewhere? Are you the same guy who think just because some people in China might be more oppressed we should all accept racism and 2nd class status because it could be worse elsewhere?
What rock did you crawl out from again? Where does it say in American constitution that whites should have it better than everyone else? I must missed it in my history class. Perhaps you can enlighten me?
Seriously, someone needs to bitch slap your sorry ass so you can wake the hell up from your mental dream.
kimtae
Jul 25th, 2008, 12:37 AM
I had a feeling that username was going to lead to a lot of stupidity being spewed out.
truthsayer
Jul 25th, 2008, 01:54 AM
I admit that it is very easy to talk trash and tell people off behind the screen of a computer.
I don't trash talk about other people behind a screen. It accomplishes nothing and makes the situation worse.
for some of you, i appreciate the fact that you are being civil and actually can argue with me in a logical, actually rational way, even if you disagree with me. you know who you are.
for the rest of you who think otherwise, there is little chance i will be able to change your mind on any subject, even if i had the best and most water tight argument because you still will do a mental block to my viewpoints. i mean, you are online, hiding behind a screen, being anonymous. you have total security and privacy.
So how about this, why don't we meet face to face and discuss these issues? I personally find that I can get my point across when I am actually looking at the face of the person I am talking to. I am on the west coast, in the state of washington. where are you?
tokyolovestory
Jul 25th, 2008, 03:24 AM
for the rest of you who think otherwise, there is little chance i will be able to change your mind on any subject, even if i had the best and most water tight argument because you still will do a mental block to my viewpoints. i mean, you are online, hiding behind a screen, being anonymous. you have total security and privacy.
Who's hiding? I told you where I live, my avatar is a picture of ME. And it's pointless to speculate about how the situation might be if you had "the best and most water tight argument" because you don't.
So how about this, why don't we meet face to face and discuss these issues? I personally find that I can get my point across when I am actually looking at the face of the person I am talking to. I am on the west coast, in the state of washington. where are you?
I told you where I am already. I'm reside in the city of San Diego, in Southern California. You wanna haul your sorry self down here to try to "discuss" your leaky arguments then you're welcome to do so.
THX1138
Jul 25th, 2008, 05:02 AM
Truthsayer was a lot more interesting when he was talking about his alleged sexual and psychological problems instead of geopolitics.
Truthsayer, can you tell us more about your past sexcapades and how this relates to your belief that White people are the shiznit?
nightshade
Jul 25th, 2008, 05:08 AM
Truthsayer was a lot more interesting when he was talking about his alleged sexual and psychological problems instead of geopolitics.
Truthsayer, can you tell us more about your past sexcapades and how this relates to your belief that White people are the shiznit?
I second this request!
howstrange
Jul 25th, 2008, 06:11 AM
Amazing article, a very positive outlook for this world, a potential future of relative peace and prosperity for everyone. Truthsayer's interpretation of the article is so ridiculously outerspace that I don’t know whether to scratch my head in confusion or feel embarrassed for him. Actually I'm doing both right now.
buttermilkwiseman
Jul 25th, 2008, 08:12 AM
Truthsayer was a lot more interesting when he was talking about his alleged sexual and psychological problems instead of geopolitics.
His strangeness has alot to do with the inherent confusion of being a white nationalist while pretending to be an asian guy on an asian forum specializing in identity politics, but unfortunately his cover's blown now so the parties over....
stormfront
I know at this point you've taken a big hit by admission, but the good news is now I can refer you to someone that can help you on your feet.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Burdi
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